Summer Movie Wager 2025: Predict the Top 10 Domestic Box Office

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A custom image for Summer Movie Wager 2025.

Why spend the summer outdoors when you could beat the heat and sit in an air-conditioned theater watching some of the latest blockbusters?

The rules are simple, the competition is fierce, and the wagers are lighthearted. This is the 2025 SAW Summer Movie Wager!


THE RULES

Choose whatever 10 theatrical films you think will be the highest grossing domestically with #1 being most successful and #10 being least. You are NOT guessing the worldwide box office total.

*We opted out of international gross because of the alternate release schedules. We apologize for any annoyance, but the window of time wouldn’t work.

You can choose any of the select films that will be released in the United States from Friday, May 2 until Monday, September 1 (i.e. the first weekend in May through Labor Day weekend).

*Please note that a movie may still be profitable after September 1, but that’s the cutoff — that extra cash won’t count.

In addition to your Top 10, we ask that you choose 3 “Furiosas”— 3 films that you think MIGHT make the Top 10, but you aren’t willing to put on your list.

*Please also note that if a movie gets delayed out of the summer window after the wager has begun, your first Furiosa will get slotted into its place.

We’re taking the point system wholesale from Time Travel Reviews (…if it ain’t broke):

  • Getting number 1 or number 10 dead-on gets you 13 points (each).
  • 10 points for numbers 2-9 dead-on
  • 7 points if your pick was only one spot away from where it ended up
  • 5 points if it was two spots away
  • 3 points if your pick is anywhere in the Top 10
  • 1 point for each dark horse pick that makes it into the Top 10

The scoring is tabulated so that you get the SINGLE HIGHEST point value for each pick. That is, if you get number ten right, you don’t get 13+3, you only get 13.


JUST SOME OF THE ELIGIBLE MOVIES

  • Thunderbolts* (May 2)
  • Final Destination: Bloodlines (May 16)
  • Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning (May 23)
  • Lilo & Stitch (May 23)
  • Karate Kid: Legends (May 30)
  • The Phoenician Scheme (May 30)
  • From the World of John Wick: Ballerina (June 6)
  • The Life of Chuck (June 6)
  • How to Train Your Dragon (June 13)
  • Materialists (June 13)
  • Elio (June 20)
  • 28 Years Later (June 20)
  • F1 (June 27)
  • M3GAN 2.0 (June 27)
  • Jurassic World Rebirth (July 2)
  • Superman (July 11)
  • Smurfs (July 18)
  • I Know What You Did Last Summer (July 18)
  • The Fantastic Four: First Steps (July 18)
  • The Bad Guys 2 (August 1)
  • The Naked Gun (August 1)
  • Freakier Friday (August 8)
  • Weapons (August 8)
  • Nobody 2 (August 8)
  • The Toxic Avenger (August 29)

PRIZE FOR FIRST PLACE

You get bragging rights, that’s it!


HOW TO SUBMIT YOUR WAGER

As for submissions, you can choose to either leave a Disqus comment on this post, or email info.screenagewasteland@gmail.com. Be aware, however, that people might copy your comment, so we encourage email. Also, your entry will be recorded immediately. If you edit a Disqus comment later, the changes likely won’t count, so choose wisely.

Entries are due at the end of Wednesday, April 30, 2025. A post will be released the following morning with everyone’s participating wager. The winner will be announced shortly after the end of Labor Day Weekend.


Choose wisely and good luck!

Author: Marmaduke Karlston

"Wait a minute. Wait a minute Doc, uh, are you telling me you built a time machine... out of a DeLorean?"